There’s strong and growing evidence that the “next” US recession has begun - or will begin soon. Historically, the longer and deeper has been the initial inversion, the longer and deeper has been the ...

If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...

Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

Is a recession on the horizon? This video analyzes the yield curve and its historical accuracy in predicting economic ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Elizabeth Guevara is a personal finance reporter who explains the world of business and economics and how it impacts your finances. She joined Investopedia in 2024. J. David Anke / Getty Images The ...

Nearly two-thirds of strategists polled by Reuters say an inverted yield curve has diminished as a reliable recession indicator. The yield curve has been inverted for 20 months without a recession ...

ORLANDO, Florida, June 4 (Reuters) - Of all the economic rules of thumb the COVID-19 pandemic seemingly ripped up, few have caused as much soul-searching as the inverted U.S. yield curve - though it ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

The yield curve disinverted this week, suggesting an economic recession may be near. Historically, yield curve disinversions have preceded every economic recession since 1976. Investors are reacting ...

A closely followed bond-market signal of an impending recession has been flashing red continuously since 2022, the longest period on record. Yet history shows an “inverted” Treasury yield curve ...

After more than two years in negative territory, the spread between the 2-year Treasury yield and 10-year Treasury yield has finally un-inverted. The yield on the 2-year Treasury note stood at 3.676% ...