If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...
Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.
The Fed launched its Quantitative Tightening program in 2022, and over the next 3 years managed to mop up roughly $2 trillion ...
・The Fed Governor added that the unemployment rate has increased beyond what was expected, which is why policy needs to move in a dovish direction. ・Miran believes the neutral interest rate is lower ...
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said the US central bank risks sparking a recession unless it continues lowering interest rates next year. “If we don’t adjust policy down, then I think that we ...
Forecasts vary for how many more times the Fed could cut interest rates in 2026. Some say one, two or even three more rate cuts ahead. Mortgage rates already have fallen as markets anticipated a Fed ...
Learn the significance of a Fed pivot, when the Federal Reserve shifts its monetary policy, and how these changes affect the ...
Cantankerous and increasingly cautious consumers — perhaps put on edge by seemingly shrinking paychecks, a weaker job market and stubbornly high prices — gave the Federal Reserve more room to cut ...