The U.S. Treasury yield curve entered an unprecedented state this week, with one-month yields rising above three-month yields for the first time since the subprime mortgage crisis, due to investors' ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

When the US Treasury yield curve inverts (short rates rise above long rates) the shift is widely viewed as a reliable forecast that a recession is near. The curve has been inverted since July 2022, ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives. From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered ...

North American yield curves are experiencing the steepest inversion of the last 3 decades, while European yield curves have flattened significantly in 2022. In the world of fixed income investing, ...